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Posted by: thepinetree on 04/05/2011 09:53 AM Updated by: thepinetree on 04/05/2011 09:56 AM
Expires: 01/01/2016 12:00 AM
:



Snow Back In The Forecast

Bear Valley, CA...Winter is returning on Wednesday night and unsettled weather will stay till Friday. Sun should return for the weekend. Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 60. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming southwest. Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. West southwest wind between 5 and 8 mph becoming calm...


The Weather Snapshot Above Starts In Bear Valley at Higher Elevations and Drops to Arnold, Murphys, Angels Camp and Copperopolis



Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. Northeast wind 5 to 11 mph becoming west. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

Wednesday Night: A chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Snow level 5400 feet lowering to 4200 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. West southwest wind between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Thursday: Snow showers. High near 34. West southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 38.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50.

Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
500 AM PDT TUE APR 5 2011

CAZ013>019-063-064-066>069-060000-
SHASTA LAKE AREA / NORTHERN SHASTA COUNTY-
BURNEY BASIN / EASTERN SHASTA COUNTY-NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY-
CENTRAL SACRAMENTO VALLEY-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY-
CARQUINEZ STRAIT AND DELTA-NORTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
MOUNTAINS SOUTHWESTERN SHASTA COUNTY TO NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
CLEAR LAKE/SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST FOOTHILLS/SACRAMENTO VALLEY-MOTHERLODE-
WESTERN PLUMAS COUNTY/LASSEN PARK-
WEST SLOPE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA-
500 AM PDT TUE APR 5 2011

...COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS BY THURSDAY...

A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL BRING A
RETURN OF SHOWERY WEATHER TO THE INTERIOR OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
LATER THIS WEEK. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER SNOW LEVELS INTO
THE FOOTHILL ELEVATIONS.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE MOST FAVORABLE PERIOD FOR SHOWERS
WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF NEW
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
AND NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA WITH LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE
DOWN INTO THE UPPER FOOTHILLS ELEVATIONS.

MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL OVER THE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA PASSES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR A RETURN OF
WINTER WEATHER AND POSSIBLE TRAVEL DELAYS.

$$





Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
CAC003-005-007-009-011-017-021-033-057-061-063-067-077-089-091-
095-099-101-103-113-115-060015-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
501 PM PDT MON APR 4 2011

...POTENTIAL FLOODING THIS SPRING ON THE SAN JOAQUIN RIVER SYSTEM...

WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOWPACK ACROSS THE SIERRA WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT RIVERS THROUGH LATE SPRING. THE LATEST SNOW SURVEY RELEASED
MARCH 30 REPORTS AN AVERAGE STATEWIDE SNOWPACK MEASURING 165% OF
NORMAL.

THE HIGHEST RISK FOR POTENTIAL SPRING FLOODING IS ON THE SAN JOAQUIN
RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES DUE TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SIERRA
SNOWPACK AND RESERVOIR LEVELS. SNOWPACK RESULTS FROM THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN SIERRA MEASURED 163% AND 158% OF NORMAL, RESPECTIVELY. THIS
SNOW WILL MELT INTO A LARGE VOLUME OF WATER THAT WILL HAVE TO PASS
THROUGH AREA RESERVOIRS AND RIVERS BEFORE MOVING THROUGH THE DELTA.
CURRENT RESERVOIR LEVELS ARE ALREADY ABOVE HISTORICAL STORAGE
AVERAGES. LEVELS AS OF MARCH 31, 2011 INCLUDE: NEW MELONES AT 132%,
DON PEDRO AT 117%, EXCHEQUER (LAKE MCCLURE) AT 132%, FRIANT DAM
(MILLERTON LAKE) AT 114%, AND PINE FLAT AT 140%. IN ANTICIPATION OF
SNOWMELT RUNOFF, THESE RESERVOIRS ARE ALREADY MAKING ELEVATED
RELEASES.

HISTORICALLY, PEAK RESERVOIR INFLOWS FROM MELTING SNOWPACK IN THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SIERRA DON`T OCCUR UNTIL MID TO LATE MAY. THUS
ADDITIONAL IMPACTS AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE DOWNSTREAM ON THE SAN
JOAQUIN RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES FOR THE NEXT 8 TO 10 WEEKS.

THE LOWER SAN JOAQUIN RIVER IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING MODERATE FLOWS
AND ELEVATED RIVER STAGES. IMPACTS ARE BEING SEEN IN THE NEWMAN AND
VERNALIS AREAS. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR
TO THE MAY SNOWMELT PEAKS.

RISK OF SNOWMELT FLOODING FOR THE SACRAMENTO RIVER AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA IS LOWER. THIS REGION CAN HANDLE
THE ANTICIPATED SNOWMELT PEAKS DUE TO ITS LARGER CAPACITIES IN BOTH
THE RIVER CHANNELS AND RESERVOIRS. CURRENT SNOWPACK FOR THE NORTHERN
SIERRA IS AT 174% OF NORMAL. LAKE SHASTA AND LAKE OROVILLE ARE BOTH
AT 104% OF THEIR HISTORICAL STORAGE AVERAGES WHILE FOLSOM LAKE IS AT
105%.

THERE IS EXTENSIVE COORDINATION OCCURRING BETWEEN LOCAL, COUNTY,
STATE, AND FEDERAL AGENCIES IN PREPARATION FOR THE SPRING SNOWMELT.

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED AS CONDITIONS CHANGE AND NEW
INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE.

$$

CLM/JBB








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